iPhone's touch screen a short-lived fad?

So I read this New York Times article over breakfast and assumed it was going to be about how all the smart phone makers are copying the iPhone's touch screen UI, a notion I find pretty obvious. But it's actually about something a lot more interesting, and is admittedly something that hadn't occurred to me:

This holiday, cellphone makers and carriers are pushing some shiny new toys: phones with touch-sensitive screens like the one on the Apple iPhone.

The companies are hoping to duplicate the blockbuster success of the iPhone with models that, in their glassy minimalism, end up looking a lot like it.

Touch-screen phones do have their critics. Mr. Snyder says the bigger screens are a drain on battery life, and the phones require users to look at the screen instead of getting to know the phone’s buttons by feel.

“You’re getting all these extras so you can look at the phone and stand still, when you bought the phone so you could move,” he said. “Only a niche of users are going to be willing to spend money to have the extra capability.”

“The hype surrounding the touch-screen technology far exceeds its impact,” Mr. Snyder said.

Touch-screen phones remain a fraction of the overall mobile phone market, but sales have been soaring. In the 12 months through September, sales of the phones in North America grew 130 percent, in contrast to 4 percent growth in the overall phone market.

As of September, M:Metrics data shows, more than 2.6 million people in North America had some model of the iPhone. The second-most-popular touch-screen model was the LG Voyager, which was available through Verizon Wireless and had 851,000 users.

There had been similar frenzies for flip phones and candy-bar-style phones when they were introduced. “And yet today, there are still plenty of people who prefer a flip phone.”

Ev Gonzalez, director of device marketing for Verizon Wireless, said the company recognized that touch-screen technology was not for everyone. In fact, he said, touch screens are likely to show up on a limited number of the company’s devices.

“There are consumers who are looking for straight phone services,” Mr. Gonzalez said. “Where the touch screen is not needed, we won’t provide it.”

So. Is the touch screen a fad? Could be. I have to admit, the things I like most about the iPhone have nothing to do with touch. Hm...

Discuss this Article 66

robertsjoe
on Dec 2, 2008
@agl82: "Robertsjoe, Apple did NOT have the first touchscreen phone. Please get your facts straight." I never said they did. If I did, show me where. Please don't say I said something I didn't.
robertsjoe
on Dec 2, 2008
@mikegalos: "Hotmail has well over a quarter of a BILLION users. That's a lot of zealots." That's a lot of people that don't know any better. AOL has a lot of users too. And look at the reputation AOL users have. "The numbers really don't match your experience. Hotmail is BY FAR more popular than GMail." Popularity means nothing. Look at Windows. The most popular but clearly not the best operating system. People have been conned in to using it now and are paying a high Microsoft tax.
DRWAM
on Dec 2, 2008
"iPhone soars to 16.6% of smartphone market" article has some interesting facts about other brands. http://www.electronista.com/articles/08/12/02/needham.on.iphone.share/
Waethorn
on Dec 2, 2008
"what this is all overlooking is the emerging market jump where the mobile phone is actually outright REPLACING the computer. For that kind of rich experience, the iPhone seems to strike a very good balance with it's screen size and software richness vs. the ultra-simple and static plastic keyboard or flip-phone." It's already happened in China and Japan. In China, the iPhone isn't even sold, and they do well without it. In Japan, the iPhone isn't even making a blip on the radar. BTW: You, sir, are a LIAR! You just keep coming back for a beating, don't you? @mike: I like Jobs' line from that video: "Since we believe in *CHOICE*...." That's one for the blooper reel. Here's another one: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=maIgu_7oLm0 "We're going to honour our existing licenses. Apple's a very honourable company....We love to license software. [You just need to pay us more]." Fast forward 11 years, and Apple lied about honouring licenses, the "ecosystem" is in the sh!tter, and licensees are gone.
Lindy
on Dec 2, 2008
One only has to go to a mall or a movie theater to see what is more popular. People under 25 maybe even under 30 prefer buttons, because for the love of GOD all they do is text. Going to the movies anymore is not fun in the glow of texting children during the movie. Like I said I love my touch be typing a even a short message on it is painful.
Waethorn
on Dec 2, 2008
"Going to the movies anymore is not fun in the glow of texting children during the movie." I complain, get them booted, and make a big enough "stink" to get a free movie pass out of it. At least I don't watch movies on a 3" screen....that's where it just gets pathetic.
agl82
on Dec 2, 2008
"Also, what this is all overlooking is the emerging market jump where the mobile phone is actually outright REPLACING the computer." Yeah, good luck with that. I just love surfing the internet with a 3.5 inch screen. And I'm sure people can't wait to type term papers with their thumbs, manipulate images the size of a postage stamp with finger gestures, and watch full-length movies with their families huddled around the iPhone! Smartphones are extensions of desktop/laptop computers, not something that will replace them.
chuckb84
on Dec 2, 2008
"Touchscreen isn't an interface without delving into software below the glass. " Yep. Look at these. Blew my mind. This sure makes the point on versatility. This thing is going in directions that no one anticipated. I don't see a "Blackberry" doing anything like this. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RhCJq7EAJJA http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CZJpuXKf2YU&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdQvSWXaODs&feature=related I particularly like the young man playing "Amazing Grace" because, well, I like the song, and he looks so into it. The iPhone is gonna eat Blackberry for lunch in the business world AND create apps like this, at the same time. Gotta love disruptive change.
agl82
on Dec 2, 2008
"Look at these. Blew my mind. This sure makes the point on versatility. This thing is going in directions that no one anticipated. I don't see a "Blackberry" doing anything like this." Why in the world would a corporate executive want to use an Ocarina emulator on their Blackberry? Does something like that do anything to increase office productivity or does it just make you look like an absolute tool when you're blowing into the dock connector?
johnpapola
on Dec 2, 2008
@Roberts, Windows won relatively fair and square. Apple squandered it's advantage in the OS by going for pure margin in the extreme and failing to continue innovation after Jobs left. Microsoft did inherit the IBM monopoly (remember when PC's were called "IBM-compatible"?), but they also had a better business model for that time. Windows provided common Now we're seeing the reverse, with Apple's integrated business model better positioned to deliver the kind of appliance-like quality of experience that people expect from devices like phones and increasingly their computers.
robertsjoe
on Dec 2, 2008
@johnpapola: "Windows won relatively fair and square." If by relatively you mean illegally, then you're right. They are convicted monopolists after all.
agl82
on Dec 2, 2008
"Now we're seeing the reverse, with Apple's integrated business model better positioned to deliver the kind of appliance-like quality of experience that people expect from devices like phones and increasingly their computers." I agree, partially. That's why Microsoft is trying to better integrate the Windows experience with their hardware partners like Sony. We'll see how successful they are in that endeavor. However, I think that Netbook adoption is personally more interesting than that of smartphones or traditional desktop/laptop computers. Linux has a chance to break into the mainstream (especially with companies like HP designing their own front end for the HP Mini 1000), which might end up making relative dinosaurs like Microsoft and Apple obsolete going forward. Hardware manufacturers can cut costs by huge margins by using Linux as a base on which to build their own customized GUIs. I'm not advocating open source, since I like my HP laptop with Vista and my brand new iPod Classic quite a bit!
chuckb84
on Dec 2, 2008
"Why in the world would a corporate executive want to use an Ocarina emulator on their Blackberry? Does something like that do anything to increase office productivity or does it just make you look like an absolute tool when you're blowing into the dock connector?" Is that a parody of an unimaginative Windows drone, or for real? Once, corporate executives couldn't type. Even now, some don't know how to use the internet. When Macs were first introduced, there was a lot of huffing and puffing about how "real men" use a command line and a keyboard and that a mouse was for wimps. Times change. Those that don't keep up tend not to survive. The Ocarina application is just one example of what the iPhone can do, and a good example of the versatility of the device. If you think that you just need a Blackberry with that ridiculous "keyboard", feel free. BTW, the iPhone is now the second best selling smart phone, so I guess there a lot of "tools" out there who disagree with your assessment of the utility of the device. Just possibly, you could be wrong....
shark47
on Dec 2, 2008
"If by relatively you mean illegally, then you're right. They are convicted monopolists after all." Fair enough. Microsoft abused its monopoly to become a monopoly... wait... wha???
anonymous
on Dec 5, 2008
Your story was featured in Dapx! Here is the link to vote it up and promote it: http://dapx.com/Technology/iPhones-touch-screen-a-short-lived-fad
anonymous
on Mar 23, 2009
A few weeks ago, a colleague and I were talking about the iPhone and postulating about the catalyst to

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