SuperSite Blog Daily Update: October 3, 2010

The New York Times has published an interesting article (What Steve Jobs Learned in the Wilderness) by Randall Stross, who's apparently still milking the Steve Jobs book (Steve Jobs & the Next Big Thing) he wrote 15 years ago. There's some good and some bad here. The bad is that the point of the article is pure speculation and, well, pointless. He writes, "If [Jobs] had instead stayed at Apple, the transformation of Apple Computer into today’s far larger Apple Inc. might never have happened." Um, right. Actually, it would have never happened at all. No need to speculate: Jobs drove NeXT into the ground. The good, however, is a reminder to those who would rewrite history, and when it comes to Apple, that's a lot of people. Stross tells us, for example, that NeXT sold only 50,000 computers ... OVER SEVEN YEARS. Jobs is a guy that needed to fail as badly as any human can fail in order to turn himself around and succeed as well as any human can succeed ... which is exactly what Jobs is doing right now. But let's not color Jobs' successes by whitewashing his failures. The guy's not perfect, far from it. But he had matured enough by the time he returned to Apple to do something he wouldn't have been able to do otherwise.

And while we're discussing CEOs of big tech companies, anyone remember when we used to refer to Microsoft's Steve Ballmer as "Emballmer"? Of course not. But this makes me wonder: Billions of dollars later, has Ballmer simply gone soft? I can't recall which NBA book this was anymore--either When The Game Was Ours, perhaps, or one of the Phil Jackson titles, but there's a story about then-Lakers coach Pat Riley realizing in the late 1980's that he had lost the respect and leadership of his team, and he felt that coaches only have that chemistry with the squad for a certain amount of time. So he left, and each (the Lakers and Riley) went on to great future success. Maybe CEOs are like that too. Steve Ballmer's a great guy and everything. But he and Microsoft no longer seem to have that killer instinct. Yes, it got them into antitrust trouble. But surely there's a middle ground between the old Microsoft and the new, soft Microsoft. It's needed if this company is serious about competing with the likes of Apple and Google, two companies that know nothing about being shackled. You can't win a fight with one hand tied behind your back.

In this BBC video report, US city erased from Google Maps, some concerns are raised about the power Google wields over us all.

Discuss this Article 6

johnbaxter
on Oct 3, 2010
Early on, I wanted to buy a NeXT machine, but Jobs wouldn't [let his people] sell me one since I had no EDU connection. I got over it.
subzerohitman721
on Oct 3, 2010
Paul, You're spot on here. Randall Stross is definitely doing some serious revisionist history. Glad you called him out on that. What Steve Jobs did with Apple 1.0 was insanely impressive. But I think Steve gets too much credit. Woz was the real genius who make the technology happen. Steve is just an excellent pitchman & he has a good eye for aesthetics. However, as many Windows users feel, that aesthetics at the cost of functionality is a lose, lose. Apple 2.0 under the various also ran CEO's gave the rise to Microsoft but like you said, Microsoft had the killer instinct to use ruthless aggression to succeed. Apple 3.0 when Steve came back got back to form & has defied the industry. Kudos to the man. A great story to be told. However, it feels like Stross gives Jobs way too much credit. What about Jonathan "Jonny" Ive? I believe that Ive is the designer "Woz" of his era. His eye for design just as important as Jobs himself. All the engineers deserve credit too. It's unfair that these unsung heroes of Apple don't get the credit they deserve. As for Microsoft, Ballmer's like members of the U.S. Congress. He's been at Microsoft for so long, he's made a career out of it. Ballmer's out of touch with reality. While Windows 7 is a big hit, look at the failures. KIN, Vista, Media Center, Media Extenders, Zune, Microsoft PlaysForSure, UMPC's, Windows tablets, Windows Mobile, MSN, MSN Music, Urge, Web TV, & many more. Other CEO's would have been canned for that much failure. Microsoft does maintain an insane cash flow but just like IBM, IBM makes billions but nobody gives a damn about IBM. What Microsoft really needs is a "techno savvy" CEO along the lines of Ford CEO Alan Mulally. Someone who is a great technology user, understands the pulse of his audience, & who has outstanding management skills. Microsoft needs to be downsized, reorganized, & needs to kill off these mini-serfdom's that kills their innovation. It's time to bring some of those secret R&D skunk-works out and make products again. Microsoft needs to innovate by shaking up Windows's design further. The Windows 95 look has been evolved slowly over time, but it's time for a complete re-write. Legacy must go, security from the ground up, & it will take one ballsy CEO to do it. Ballmer isn't that guy. A top down reorganization that begins with a total refresh of talent at the top is a start. Some guys like Steven Sinofsky are worth keeping. So is Ray Ozzie but not as Chief Software Architect. Microsoft needs to lighten its load so that it can "float like a butterfly, sting like a bee."
rr0de74@live.com
on Oct 3, 2010

I seriously wonder what will happen to Apple in the next five years.

While they are on the top of the world now, I dont thik they continue to go up.  The have surpassed Microsoft in market cap, but that is much Apple as it is Microsoft's doing.

The Mac looks like it is being set out to pasture, with all focus on iOS.  Snow Leopard wether you like it or not was a very minor upgrade to Leopard, like they were releasing something just to throw up a smoke screen when Windows 7 came out.  Just this week the next version of Final Cut was pushed until 2011.  Sadly for Mac Pro users that have $4000 boxes with 6 cores and tons of RAM, FC can only use 2 of those CPU's.  Where is the talk about 10.7?  ilife 2010/11?  Facetime for the Mac?

The problem for Apple if they do go all iOS is that iOS is has some serious competition all around it.  Andriod is killing it every day in sales.  We are now starting to see the massive flood of tablets hitting the shores, with Dell and Samsung.  Verison is going to have several in the next 6 months.  Soon Windows Phone 7 will start to chip away at the iPhone.

Apple will still be successful like Microsoft is today.  iOS will be a big player, but putting all of their efforts into it is a mistake.  Mac's had some good momentum until Windows 7, however Apple blew by not going after the business world. Mac's in a Windows work invorment even today are painful to get working.

I predict starting in fall 2011, you will see more and more news about Apple losing sales to others, and year over year of Mac and iPhone sales will either top off of drop slightly.  The iFan reaction will be interesting to watch.

Waethorn
on Oct 3, 2010

@rrode:

If iOS is what Apple will exclusively develop going forward, how will anyone be able to develop iOS apps?  After all, OS X usage is at an all-time high now isn't it?  :P

"Sadly for Mac Pro users that have $4000 boxes with 6 cores and tons of RAM, FC can only use 2 of those CPU's"

I do remember a lengthy argument with a certain, ahem, "professional" video editor extolling the virtues of the dual quad-core processor Mac Pro's as being "the new defacto standard for professional video editing".  You know, because you have to justify paying that much money for a system, even if you're lying to yourself.

I honestly don't see iOS being the panacea for Apple that they make it out to be.  It's already starting to show a slowdown in consumer attraction, what with the drop-off in interest in the iPad, and the disappointment in the iPhone4.  I suspect that Apple will lose it's short-term fad status over the next few years unless they have something new coming along that they actually make people outside the company think is "magical".

DRWAM
on Oct 4, 2010
The iphone 4 is hardly a disappointment. There is still a large demand. iPad sales are doing well too, even in this economy. I got a video card replacement at the Apple store yesterday, and even the Apple TV was sold out. But Apple will never catch up to MS in market share because of [over-] pricing and limited production [compared to over makers]. People love their Apple stuff, but people also really like Win 7. More Win improvements are coming and many services are free from MS. Live in particular. There is no contest. However, the Mac fanboi base continues to be strong and growing, buying overpriced laptops that they would do nothing more than a less expensive Windows laptop. You can call it the effect of biting a poisoned apple, but it will continue as well. Each year you all claim that the Apple effect will drop off, but it doesn't. Apple continues to appear to provide great customer service, but it may only be due to the comfort from not hearing a foreign voice at the other end. That's were companies like Dell and Gateway went wrong. Apple doesn't care any more about customers than any other company, but advertise to make you believe it. Ballmer is maturing and seems to have become the standard professional CEO, rather than step into any other persona. I think that he has made the right choice. Kill them with good solid products, rather than bury the competition with corruption. MS is still on top, and as Ballmer said, the competition is within their a margin of error. This will continue. Sometimes slow and steady wins the race. BTW, I will bet any of you that doctors will dump their iPhone for the new Win 7 phones, where they will be able to do much more for their practice and patient care than the iPhone. I just wish that there was some survey to prove it.
Waethorn
on Oct 4, 2010
@doc: You haven't been paying attention to the headlines: iPhone4 sales aren't nearly where the 3GS sales were and continue to be, and iPad sales are leveling off, and new users are less excited about it after the smokescreen cleared from early hype-sters. Even the new iPod lineup just doesn't have any pizazz anymore, and OS X marketshare is falling, not rising with Mac sales. That means that when competitors want to start offering high-margin systems with expensive construction materials running Windows 7, Apple mindshare will go out the window.

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