CES Day 3

Last night ended up being quite a late evening. After finally finishing up my overdue articles, I headed out for the "This Won't Stay In Vegas" party. Foolishly, I walked. It had to be a couple of miles from the hotel, but it was nice out, and I was early so what the heck. The place eventually filled up nicely, and the museum it was at--the Museum of Atomic Testing--was actually quite interesting as well. I ran into a lot of people there, including Star Trek's Brent Spiner, who seemed like a nice guy. I'll have a few pics of the museum up in a bit.

After the party, I went to a Podtrac dinner for Leo and his podcasters over at the Hard Rock Cafe's Pink Taco restaurant. One of the nice things about this CES in general, and that dinner in particular, is that I've been able to spend some time with various TWiT folks. It's an amazing thing to be a part of, and everyone is just fantastic. Gary Koffler and I spent quite a bit of time reminiscing about the early days of the computer industry--he was an actual participant, I'm just an amateur industry historian--and are going to see if we can turn this into a podcast. These stories need to be told, and by the people who experienced it. I hope it happens.

Today, I'm going to head over to the LVCC South Hall for an hour or so and hopefully record a short segment for Leo's radio show. This afternoon will likely involve some kind of non-CES activity--Neowin's Tom Warren and Brad Sams were talking about possibly going to Hoover Dam or something similar, so we'll see. I have a stupid, stupid, stupid red eye flight this evening/tomorrow morning that I'm not too excited about. But I held my hotel room for an extra day so I didn't have to stumble around Vegas with my bags for 12 hours.

Some ramblings about the show

Looking back on the 2010 CES, I guess I'd just say that the PC-type stuff has been deemphasized quite a bit, which makes sense since the natural evolution of the CE industry is for devices to obtain more powerful computing processing and capabilities; for a few years there, it seemed that you needed a real PC somewhere in the chain to make it all work. That's less the case now, I think. I was amused to hear an "industry expert" on the plane ride here to explain to someone that he's been coming to this show for so long that he remembers when it used to be called COMDEX. That's a sadly amusing bit of ignorance, given that CES has been its own show since the 1970's and that COMDEX was something separate, and something that was completely PC-centric. Maybe it's time to bring that back.

I'm also growing increasingly weary of the gadget-of-the-day silliness, which is fed by overly-popular gadget blogs. These guys pump something up until it ships and then they just move onto to the Next Big Thing. CES is all about this kind of baloney, too much so, and of course since the show spans industries, it spills over into businesses you weren't necessarily even aware of. Whatever you have has already been replaced by something better. It's just a treadmill, and getting people excited over nothing isn't a business model, it's a mistake.

That said, technology can be exciting, and it's the reason I love this business. Every once in a while something special does come along--the Kindle, the iPhone, perhaps (we'll see) that Lenovo U1 hybrid notebook--and keeps things interesting. Not coincidentally, however, the devices I just mentioned were both deeply flawed at launch; the Kindle and iPhone were way to expensive when they first appeared, and the iPhone had a litany of problems for PC users especially that lasted almost two years. It's funny how so few reviewers cared to admit that to their readers.

CES, of course, is about the future. So the hype here is understandable, especially for those products that won't ship for months. That much of Microsoft's keynote address was about momentum (i.e. "the past") is I think problematic: If Microsoft can't address the future at CES, and is instead allowed to give a 60 minute recap about how excellent the last year was, then it's time for CES to move on and find a company that is more aligned with the vision of the show. Put simply, it's not clear to me that Microsoft deserves to be headlining CES. Aside from the Xbox, they're not exactly lighting it up with consumers, and several consumer-oriented products and services--notably Windows Live--weren't even mentioned at this CES. That's unforgiveable.

It's unclear which company could fill this gap. Apple, of course, but then that would just be a 60 minute commercial for that one company's products, a replacement for the Macworld keynote. Instead, maybe it's time to let the diversity of the companies at CES by represented in the keynote, and have an MC that would bring up people from the top 10 of 15 companies with compelling stories to tell, in order, and let them parade their stuff. There just isn't a single company that deserves this spot, from what I can tell.

Anyway, I'm uncomfortable providing answers to my own questions. As a reviewer, I find it easy to spot problems ("complain") but not so easy to find answer ("solve"). So I'll leave that to the experts. But I do feel that a change is needed. I hope that CES is looking into this.

As for next year's show, whether I attend will be based on Leo's plans, as I enjoyed the live show recording quite a bit. I will do things a bit differently next time, however, and spend less time at the show and more time before the show researching where the PC-oriented stuff is so that I don't have to wander several miles around the LVCC to find it. Super-thin LCD HDTV displays are nice and all, but after walking by 1000 or more of them, they all kind of blur together, and if I never hear another thumping car bass again I'll die a happy man. Too much of CES is just irrelevant to me and what I write about. Next year, I'll ignore that stuff.

Discuss this Article 19

kadarzsolt
on Jan 9, 2010
Great show from CES Paul! I hope the Lenovo avoids the vaporware ending and actually comes to market. The other portables lacked real innovation and "the sexy" factor. I think I know why Balmer avoided mentioning the Lenovo U1 at the keynote: it is partially a Linux machine. That said, I hope the can find a partner to bring out a PC competitor for the Kindle. I do not want to read color PDFs on small, greyscale screens. keep up the good work, Kaadi
Waethorn
on Jan 9, 2010
"several consumer-oriented products and services--notably Windows Live--weren't even mentioned at this CES" What part of Consumer *Electronics* don't you understand, Paul?
kadarzsolt
on Jan 9, 2010
If my memory serves me there were lots of software/web services companies present at CES. Photo/video editing, sharing, archiving and organizing is just as much part of the CE picture as are camcorders and D-SLRs, backup devices and set-top-boxes. Also, Skype was promoted on several CE devices, so Live Messenger can be considered missing in action.
DRWAM
on Jan 9, 2010
But a lot of the newer high tech "thin LED LCD TV's" have interactive and "web capabilities". While I don't know what operates them, I always think of Windows and Microsoft when I think of the web. For example, Vizio VIA stuff. The web and Windows seems to be part of that large growing trend.
Mark KB
on Jan 9, 2010
Agreed with Waethorn. The keynote was mainly about the future of the Xbox, which is a consumer electronic... thing. CES comes at the midpoint between two big future-orientated Microsoft conferences - PDC'09 and MIX. I'm not sure they had that much to announce that wasn't/wouldn't be covered by those two, really - apart from the Xbox stuff.
rr0de74@live.com
on Jan 9, 2010
@DRWAM I would bet good money that those TV's that support web connections to things like HULU or Netflix or simple browsing use a form of *nix. (Unix or Linux). In fact outside of MS products 98% of consumer electronics use a form of *nix. All apple products use Unix, all Google products (search appliance, new phone, Adroid OS, Adroid tablets). VMware is running on Linux. Lots of network appliances run on Linux, (proxy, email gateways). Cisco uses a form of *nix for its hardware OS. GPS devices use a form of *nix. Who would have thought 10 years ago that *nix would be at the heart of so many consumer electronic devices.
DRWAM
on Jan 9, 2010
Well then rrode, I stand corrected! Thanks, Doc
mikegalos@msn.com
on Jan 9, 2010
As Paul said, and that unnamed "industry expert" embarassingly blew, CES is NOT Comdex. When Comdex finally died it left a gap that has never really been filled. There is NO global personal computer trade show. The growth of the Internet and the ease of webcasting product introductions removed one of the major reasons the shows existed. The death of the real trade journals and their replacement with niche blogs - probably as a result of the same factors - got rid of another. What we're left with are a series of niche shows and vendor specific private events. The niche shows such as E3 for gaming and Mobile World Conference for phones have meant that the big vendor announcements, when not run at private events such as Google's Nexus One launch and Apple's upcoming "mystery event", are held at these niche shows. CES, being one of two catch-all shows (The other being CeBIT) lacks the focus needed for a "gathering of the tribe" that used to happen at Comdex. Computer people spend their time surrounded by home audio people who are surrounded by flat-screen TV people and the synergy of the single industry event is missing. Is it time for a return of Comdex as Paul suggests? Probably not. The economics and technology probably no longer allow for it. And that's a shame.
Dr. Daniel Jackson
on Jan 9, 2010
did Brent Spiner have a Droid?
Dr. Daniel Jackson
on Jan 9, 2010
sorry, I couldn't resist :)
gfryesc1
on Jan 9, 2010
what a yawner. What I want to know is if Colleen Kelly's really a woman. My girlfriend thinks not. me, I just don't know. Now, Ina Fried, just no question about it.
DRWAM
on Jan 9, 2010
Were there some local COMDEX? I seem to remember attending something in New Jersey in the mid to late 90's and I think they may have have called it COMDEX, although it was half as big as the Vegas center.
rr0de74@live.com
on Jan 9, 2010
I used to regularly attend the annual Microsoft Exchange conference. They were actually fun, but they are gone.
anonymous
on Jan 9, 2010
This post was mentioned on Twitter by gretchenglas: CES Day 3: Last night ended up being quite a late evening. After finally finishing up my overdue articles, I he.. http://bit.ly/51Z97o
robertsjoe
on Jan 9, 2010
Microsoft's irrelevance grows larger every year.
Ocean
on Jan 9, 2010
Theres a lot of meat here: Print journalist (Paul) vs. bloggers Paul changing the target of his ire from Pogue to tech bloggers Most writers get grumpy as they age -- see Dvorak -- Paul is aging early
redunion1940
on Jan 9, 2010
Actually Microsoft isn't becoming irrelevant but eh, IBM isn't even irrelevant, its just what they produce isn't panned by the media, truly IBM comes out with some amazing technology, there processors are good for what they are intended for, they have the fastest super computers, there coming up with the revolutionary products that will change our future, its just the media doesn't really cover them, no we get to hear about a touchscreen tablet that maybe released by Apple, how the iPhone revolutionlized the smart phone industry, which I think they did give it a good kick in the pants, but not revolutionary, and about an OS that holds about 4% of the consumer market, WW, not US
Backup77
on Jan 9, 2010
Paul I downloaded the video of your windows weekly broadcast from CES and enjoyed it especially the lenovo stuff, now they are some nice machines.
mikegalos@msn.com
on Jan 10, 2010
Ocean "Most writers get grumpy as they age -- see Dvorak -- Paul is aging early" I used to run into Dvorak a fair amount at Comdex parties going back to the 1980s. He didn't get grumpy as he aged, he's always been grumpy.

Please or Register to post comments.

IT/Dev Connections

Las Vegas
September 30th - October 4th

Paul ThurottYou'll have the opportunity to experience:
• 120 Technical
Sessions
• Networking with Peers
• Expert Speakers


Come See Paul Thurrott & Mary Jo Foley in Person!

Register Now

Office 365 InfoCenter

Get the latest insight and info from Paul

Read Now!

What I Use