Seven client OSes that won't replace Windows

But what the heck, it makes for a cute article.

Not to ruin the surprise, but they are:

1. Mac OS X

2. Linux

3. Solaris/Open Solaris

4. FreeBSD

5. Midori (Which isn't even an OS)

6. iPhone OS/Symbian/Android

7. The Revenge of Netscape (Web)

So, what's the real take-away here? That ...

1) None of these client OSes will ever replace Windows. (or)

2) How the heck did he even find seven non-Windows client OSes? :) Oh, wait. He didn't. Only the first two are viable desktop OSes, maybe the first three. Maybe.

But numbers 6 and 7 actually do point towards an interesting and believable future: Certainly, PCs will be outpaced by mobile and Web devices. Arguably, they already are.

Pure fluff piece.

Thanks Joe R.

Discuss this Article 87

mikegalos@msn.com
on Aug 20, 2008
chuckb84 I'd agree that the file system is an area ripe for innovation (I wouldn't say ZFS really qualifies as innovative but it is incrementally better) A few areas I'd say are places for innovation are: Elimination of the hierarchical file system with something more suitable for massive distributed, replicated and versioned data storage. Possibly the elimination of the file itself. The ability to take advantage of both distributed and local non-symmetric multiprocessor architectures Replacement of the desktop metaphor Support for massive numbers of linked devices As for what MS is doing that nobody else is, I'd have to know what everybody is doing to answer that. What I do see is that nobody's doing much about creating a better wheel, they're just holding committee meetings about approved colors for wheels.
mikegalos@msn.com
on Aug 20, 2008
Scoobyclub Are you an economist? That's the group that usually starts off their statements with "Given that x" where x is what they want to prove... There have been several paradigm shifts in computing over the last 40 years. Here are just a few: GUIs Event driven programming Object oriented programming Object-based storage Highly networked computers Personal computers Portable computers The Internet Always on Internet Ubiquitous computing Ubiquitous network access Ubiquitous Internet access Tunneled private networks High-speed mobile Internet Client/Server computing n-tier computing Mesh networks Cloud computing Black hat hackers eCommerce Digital media distribution High resolution displays Consumers as users
lotsamystuff
on Aug 20, 2008
"Let's look at the competition shall we? iPhwn $3G? MobileFlop, anyone?" Wae, unfortunately you need to pull your head out of your arse once again. If you think Apple's innovation in the mobile space isn't significant or important, then clearly you're so far deep in the WinJihadist camp that you're beyond hope. Not that we didn't know this already. MobileMe hardly qualifies as an "operating system", which is what the conversation is about. The iPhone, however, clearly represents a new paradigm. Windows Mobile? Phhhht. Don't make me laugh. @mikegalos: "As for what MS is doing that nobody else is, I'd have to know what everybody is doing to answer that." Well, you brought it up when you said "nobody is innovating in operating systems except Microsoft". Citation, please?
Waethorn
on Aug 20, 2008
"The iPhone, however, clearly represents a new paradigm." Ya, you know, cuz when you look up "new paradigm" in the Jobsian dictionary, you see a picture of flying iPhwn icons and the line "when cut and paste are no longer relevent, but sucking more money from your customers still is". Go back to your marketing job losta. You need all the practise you can get, cuz you ain't selling anyone on Apple's so-called "innovations" here.
mikegalos@msn.com
on Aug 20, 2008
lotsa You seem to have a logic error. To prove nobody's doing something is impossible without perfect knowledge. On the other hand, disproving it should be easy if it's wrong. Please feel free to cite a significant OS innovation from anyone but Microsoft in the last, say, five generations (a generation is generally considered 3 years in this industry). So, something not already present in Windows NT in 1993... Remember that innovation isn't "A Unix version of x" where x was the innovation already present somewhere else. I will accept "A commercial version of x" where x is a reseach item since moving theory to reality is often a very hard problem. Also remember that we're talking about operating systems so keep it to OS and middleware (since that's now a part of a modern OS)
mikegalos@msn.com
on Aug 20, 2008
lotsa Here. I'll start you off. Distributed Directory Services. (OS Middleware, not present in 1993) Innovators were Novell and Microsoft. (Novell's implementation didn't scale, Jim Allchin's architecture did and became Active Directory)
lotsamystuff
on Aug 20, 2008
Wae: Maybe this will convince you to get an iPhone: http://www.macworld.com/article/135108/2008/08/timhortons.html?lsrc=rss_... ;-)
scoobyclub
on Aug 20, 2008
@mikegalos Depends on your definition of a paradigm shift I guess. As with innovation I think I am a little more demanding in what I expect of something described as such. I also dislike the hyperbole used by the technology industry to describe pretty run of the mill technology or tiny improvements ( or even non-improvements ) in a particular aspect of a product. A paradigm shift, in my mind anyway, has to be big and most, possibly every, item you mentioned is small, duplicated or decades old. I would class connecting two computers together such that they can talk as a paradigm shift. Every other network, internet etc is simply a scaling or evolution of that principle but. The paradigm remains the same. I think the GUI is possibly the only one I would class as a paradigm shift in recent history even if it is couple of decades old. Wireless connectivity I might also include. Trouble with technology, technology products etc is that everything has to be innovative or a paradigm shift because the marketing folks demand it and thus the words get devalued. I am no Apple apologist on this as they have milked them as much if not more than Microsoft. No, I am not an economist ( far from it ) and don't get the inference either.
shark47
on Aug 20, 2008
Looks like people need to see a single mention of Apple or OS X in Paul's post and the thread is filled with links and comments about Apple. If you want a Windows free world, start by trying out a Windows Supersite free world. If you think Windows sucks, what's the point in coming here and gloating over every positive news article about Apple? Same goes for people who don't care about the iPhone. Having a debate is a little different from "rubbing it in someone's face".
scoobyclub
on Aug 20, 2008
@Shark47 The point is to come here and tell people that Windows sucks. Duh :-) Seriously, the only reason for posting on any message/blog like this is because you are bored in the office or have no life. Posting anything here will achieve absolutely nothing.
Waethorn
on Aug 20, 2008
"Maybe this will convince you to get an iPhone" Sorry, but any self-respecting coffee afficianado, like myself, grinds their own espresso, thank you very much. "Seriously, the only reason for posting on any message/blog like this is because you are bored in the office or have no life. Posting anything here will achieve absolutely nothing." and "stupid is as stupid does." ....stupid losta. ;-)
scoobyclub
on Aug 20, 2008
I am bored and achieving nothing. Guilty.
Delmont
on Aug 20, 2008
I do not believe that Mike comes here and highjacks every thread or any. Infact it is Mike that keeps the comments on topic actually and not always diverting to John's blah blah about Apple. I started out in the 80's working and supporting the Vax and VMS environment moved to Burroughs/Unisys So to read Mike's comments are actually interesting and refreshing because they are not always blah blah the iPhone will save the world, give us peace on earth and every other horsesh*t wish you Apple people spout. The world does not revolve around Apple. If the world did, then maybe you'd have more than 3% market share. And yes, this is s Windows Site. And yes, I like Microsoft And yes, I like NT. And Yes, I like Vista And yes, I like Windows Server 2003
shark47
on Aug 20, 2008
"Windows Mobile? Phhhht. Don't make me laugh." Wait, let me guess. You know of an admin, whose sister-in-law's daughter's classmate's stepfather had problems with Windows Mobile, right? Or, did you read it in a David Pogue article? Maybe a Steve Jobs keynote? Did Jobs ask you to laugh whenever Windows Mobile was mentioned?
chuckb84
on Aug 20, 2008
@Mike You said, "Nobody is innovating in operating systems except Microsoft. And that's just sad." And then followed up with, "As for what MS is doing that nobody else is, I'd have to know what everybody is doing to answer that." Well, never mind the part about everybody else, just what exactly is all this "innovation" that MS is doing? I don't care if others are copying or not, just what is it that MS has done that is so impressively innovative? BTW, if you want an outstanding example of a Unix driven technology that is very important, consider MPI and OpenMP. Both started on Unix and then were moved later (and badly, in my view) to Windows. Although these have limitations for parallel programming, they are the best we've got to date. I agree with you about the file system as an area that can be much improved. I have hopes for ZFS. As for multicore, I wait to see what Apple's "Grand Central" is, other than a cutesy name. I have no idea what MS is doing that is analogous, if anything, but multicore is here to stay, so the OS better support it and provide a programming paradigm that is easy to use and scales with the number of cores. I don't know what replaces the desktop metaphor, and haven't heard any proposal on this that I would take seriously. If you want to go far afield on this, see "True Names" by the visionary Vernor Vinge. Read it and reflect that he wrote this in 1981! He describes a real paradigm shift, and of course, follows this up in "A Fire Upon the Deep" and "A Deepness in the Sky". The last area of innovation that I can see is mobile systems. The iPhone, despite issues and limitations, is the first serious attempt to address how you deal with substantial computing power when the device is too small for a keyboard and too small for a (pick a number) 1024X768 screen, or one that displays a page of text. The iPhone is a first halting step, but so was the Mac in 1984. This is an area that needs real innovation, from Apple and everyone else. The iPhone (and smart phones in general) have the computing power of a late 1980's to early 90's desktop. (I think. I might be wrong on the exact date, but you get the idea.) Our ability to USE that power is now hugely constrained by how we interact with the devices. So, that may be the biggest innovation area of all, especially as those things get ubiquitous internet acess no matter where you are.
mikegalos@msn.com
on Aug 20, 2008
chuck Actually, I personally think MPI (assuming from context that you mean the parallel processing API) is a rather miserable programming environment, tightly tied to old C paradigms and optimized to make the tool writing easier rather than the programming of the actual problem. I also wouldn't say it has anything to do with operating systems. As for ZFS, from what I've seen it has some nice features but nothing that's a big change from modern file systems. We definately need a paradigm change here and not incremental increases. On to multicore/manycore. Since nobody outside of Cupertino knows what Apple means with "Grand Central" it's a little early to even discuss it. (That's the downside they have to pay for secrecy). Microsoft, on the other hand, has had TPL and PLINQ out for a while now, has some very nice enhancements in HPC Server that really make implementing clusters much faster and easier than it was in CCS and has done some really nice distributed computing stuff in Robotics Developers Studio (that isn't just for robots) I'd agree with you that the real problem with smart phones of all types right now is that the UI for a limited size (but not really a limited resolution - that's a different issue) device requires a new way of thinking and nobody's got it. The iPhone's press coverage will probably be the real thing it contributes because it will actually get people thinking about the problem.
mikegalos@msn.com
on Aug 20, 2008
FYI: To virtually everyone reading this... MPI programming is a VERY obscure topic and I'm amazed to see even one other person here who even knows what it is. I, for one, will try not to let this shift into arcana that obscure. (chuckb, if you want to discuss MPI, we should probably take it offline)
johnpapola
on Aug 20, 2008
@Mike, One must admire the totality in which you have become drunk on the Redmond Koolaid. It really sounds like it's replaced your blood running through your veins. "nobody is innovating in operating systems except Microsoft" "The iPhone's press coverage will probably be the real thing it contributes" Wow. Amazing, sweeping condemnations and generalizations on an epic scale. We all know arguing with you is pointless (or we all should by now). Instead, all me to point to this summary of how Kevin Hoffman, operator of "The .Net Addict's Blog", views WinCE vs. iPhone development. It sure seems to contradict both of these ludicrous statements of yours. http://www.appleinsider.com/articles/08/08/20/kevin_hoffman_iphone_devel... Money Quote: "iPhone is the single best mobile development platform ever." Followed by... "writing Mac applications has made my Windows apps better." .Net Addict's Blog: http://dotnetaddict.dotnetdevelopersjournal.com/
mikegalos@msn.com
on Aug 20, 2008
John Wow. I disagree with a post on AppleInsider cited by a guy who "worships Steve Jobs" Yeah. I'm questioning my beliefs. You might want to ask him about the "F'ing NDA" or the withdrawal of the notifier service or the restrictions on classes of apps that might compete with Apple... Nah. I'm the one who speaks from nothing but kool-aid induced bias. Putting it back on topic, again, what innovations from somebody else? The last time we discussed this, the best you came up with was one API group specific to video effects that's also present in Windows - not the league of stuff we're talking about in this discussion.
shark47
on Aug 20, 2008
@Papola: "As for mac users not knowing better, Paul himself has said he believes Mac users are generally more tech savvy since they aren't going with the default choice of the majority, but making a choice to use a different platform. I agree with Paul on that, which invalidates your point." So, you're invalidating Wae's opinion based on yours? "Paul himself has said he believes ..." So, OK, that's his opinion. How does that invalidate Wae's statement?
tayme
on Aug 20, 2008
@Mike - "Putting it back on topic, again, what innovations from somebody else? The last time we discussed this, blah-blah-blah." And you have yet to name one innovation from Microsoft in the last 5 years that wasn't just an improvement on or evolution of an existing technolgy. Come on, man...give the anti-anything but MS rhetoric a rest. Maybe start your own blog to spend all day on these discussions...but, then you'd have to put your own money down to do that, eh... --tayme
RaaJ
on Aug 20, 2008
Tayme, For once, if anybody started providing useful information and facts like Mike, and not spout BS marketing schpiel like Johnpapola, cesjr and lotsamystuff, we would all be much better off. You might as well start by giving a rest to your badgering of Mike.
tayme
on Aug 20, 2008
@RaaJ - If you go back read my posts over the last several months, I badger the others just as much...maybe not johnpapola, but I feel like in most cases, he is fair...the others are just plain tiring...just like mikegalos and waethorn. You are right...mikegalos knows his stuff, but he needs to drop the "holier than thou" attitude. I just don't follow the thought process of those types that feel for one to succeed, the other must fail...or if I like x, then y sucks. That is pretty childish in my mind. --tayme
mikegalos@msn.com
on Aug 20, 2008
RaaJ Thanks, but it's a lost cause. Some people like to educate, some people like to attack. That's life in any online community. The trick is to learn which people provide facts and which don't and ignore the people whose posts don't add to the knowledge of the community. If not, you'll find you burn out and end up missing the good stuff because you can't stomach the rest.
tayme
on Aug 20, 2008
@mikegalos - it is obvious that you know your stuff when it comes to Windows. I would be an idiot to try to deny that. But come on...if johnpapola prefers using OS X to do his job, who are you to say he is wrong. You like to use double talk to try to prove your points, and that is what makes you sound cocky. Give that a rest, and go on posting information that is useful to the rest of us...instead of things like: "Nobody is innovating in operating systems except Microsoft. And that's just sad." and then later on when somebody challenges that statement you say "As for what MS is doing that nobody else is, I'd have to know what everybody is doing to answer that." That is pure rubbish, and I think that even you know it...since you refused to respond to that part of another post by chuckb84 that pointed that out. --tayme
mikegalos@msn.com
on Aug 20, 2008
tayme The question I ducked was not about what everyone had DONE but what they were DOING IN THE NEAR FUTURE, The first, I've answered. The second I can't without becoming as dishonest as the average Mac Rumor site. Speculating gets you nowhere. Now, care to tell me all those innovations from non-Microsoft operating systems that I've glossed over? You know. Add something to the conversation?
tayme
on Aug 20, 2008
@mikegalos - "Now, care to tell me all those innovations from non-Microsoft operating systems that I've glossed over?" Maybe once you prove your own statement - " Nobody is innovating in operating systems except Microsoft." - I will give that a shot. But you have yet to do so. Use of words like "nobody" and "everybody" and "never" and "always" is always trouble...didn't your parents teach you that? And you already sound as dishonest as those Mac Rumor sites that you mentioned above...so, don't worry about that part. --tayme
mikegalos@msn.com
on Aug 20, 2008
tayme Seeing how I've already posted a short book on OS history in just this thread, I've got nothing to prove and, apparently, you've got nothing to add.
DRWAM
on Aug 20, 2008
C'mon guys, my colorful posts add that special brightness to these dark discussions. Don't you all think so?.... Well? ....... I still awaiting an answer!...... I WILL NOT BE IGNORED!!!! :)
mikegalos@msn.com
on Aug 20, 2008
DRWAM Bright and cheery as usual. (Now, don't hurt me!) :-)
tayme
on Aug 20, 2008
@mikegalos - How does that prove that NOBODY is innovating except Microsoft? It doesn't....like I said, the word nobody is powerful and you absolutely have not proven that. But, my cause is lost on you...so I will drop it for now. Enjoy your evening. @DRWAM - We need more joles...please bring some jokes... --tayme
johnpapola
on Aug 20, 2008
@Tayme, Thanks for seeing me for what I am: someone that loves Apple's products and philosophy but is also fundamentally reasonable and interested in seeing all sides and being honest. I think it's clear for everyone to judge where we all stand in the spectrum of reasonable to extremist and open-minded to blindly partisan. My point in this thread was the same as yours. This is not a zero-sum game and in the end, people that try to paint it as such are ultimately just trying to prove themselves "right" for some strange personal ego gratification. Windows can be dominant and the Mac can be a great platform that keeps it's users happy. If someone love windows, great. If they think Microsoft is a great company, wonderful. But when they start claiming that nobody else is doing anything innovative (especially Apple) or that everything Apple does blows... well... that's neither reasonable or rational. Similarly, when the mac fans bash Microsoft unendingly, it's not fair or always true and honest. They've made real significant contributions and it doesn't take away from the Mac to acknowledge them. And Apple isn't infallible. The mobileme mess is just one example of that. Some of the major performance regressions in the iPhone 2.0 software is another (seriously, my treo's address book search was instant... and the palm had device-wide search... wtf Apple?) Mike thinks that he can invalidate my opinions because I have a silly blurb about worshipping Steve Jobs on my website. A blurb that is clearly a joke (though Jobs is a personal hero and leader I admire, no question). This is classic politics. Smear the messenger rather than discuss the message. If he thinks he's taking the high road, that's in keeping with his general "I know everything" professorial posture. He likes to "educate". I like to debate and discuss and learn with the acknowledgement that I don't know all things. Pride is one of the seven deadly sins, Mike. "The last time we discussed this, the best you came up with was one API group specific to video effects that's also present in Windows" - Mike He and I had a back and forth about this "MS is the only OS innovator" claim in a prior thread. I pointed to OSX's Quartz composition graphics layer and the fact that it along with the Core Image pre-date Avalon/WPF as a major innovation on Apple's part. You see his response. "One API group"? So fundamental graphics technology doesn't count as innovation for Mike. I guess the GUI and the technologies that underpin it are just not really part of OS innovation to him. If it doesn't fit his argument, he marginalizes it's importance. All of you can judge if Avalon/WPF was an important pillar of Vista or not. Microsoft thought it was a big deal. This is the "one API group" that Mike is trivializing and which Apple delivered ahead of them. If you think that's reasonable, than I lose this one. I don't think it is. I think Quartz is the proof that Mike's claim is wrong. You be the judge. I believe that Apple was also the first to deliver a sync service at the OS level that integrated with an online service for broad system and data sync (sync services + .mac).... though I could be dead wrong on that and I think that Live Mesh looks really really cool and promising. I'll end with this... "The PC wars are over. Done. Microsoft won a long time ago." - Steve Jobs 1996
johnpapola
on Aug 20, 2008
Off Topic... I'm producing all the promotion for the Video Game Awards on Spike this year and would love to hear from anyone that's a gamer and has an opinion on the show. We're brainstorming ideas for stuff we could do online and possibly in Xbox Live beyond just the on-air commercials. I'll also repost this in the PS3 thread as it's more relevant there. Feel free to use the messaging system on paul's site to ping me with thoughts and ideas.
DRWAM
on Aug 20, 2008
John, most of us probably won't watch, but we'll still give you our opinion.
shark47
on Aug 20, 2008
tayme, I agree with you that Mike needs to take it a little easy. Mike, you clearly know your stuff, but tend to go overboard at times. There's no point arguing about every single comment posted here, seriously. Regarding John, he is reasonable at times. There are times when he too posts links to articles about how well Apple is doing with respect to Microsoft. If they were on topic, it would be fine, I guess. Most of the time, they're not. Another thing that pisses me off is his tendency to refer to anyone who disagrees with him as a WinJihadist (or fanatic). Moreover, Mike brought up Papola's website because of some weird comments from John about his LinkedIn page.
DRWAM
on Aug 20, 2008
Back OT, I don't feel qualified to give an opinion, and I may be wrong, but I am at least impressed with PACS technology as well as image fusion. When I first saw a data CD back in 1995, I knew that we would soon be giving a patient a copy of their images as well as reports, on a CD instead of film. Now xray film has been replaced by solid state digital detectors. many images are now processed into 3D studies and some are fused, or superimposed onto other image studies. The data is processed to match the the same voxel density, or at least the same pixel matrix. Mostly, the Workstations used are Windows based, second place would be Linux, usually RedHat. A rare few have Macs. I do find MIMvista very useful, for PET/CT. It's funny that this $20,000 software is Windows only, but they have a viewer for the iPhone. Still, the install base is small, making the iphone app pretty much irrelevant. Besides, viewing on an iPhone would only demonstrate grossly large abnormalities as the display is too small to adequately evaluate a PET/CT. These technologies seem kinda innovative to me.
johnpapola
on Aug 20, 2008
"There are times when he too posts links to articles about how well Apple is doing with respect to Microsoft. If they were on topic, it would be fine, I guess. Most of the time, they're not." sharky47... please provide a few examples of this. I don't recall using this troll tactic very much. I'll concede that my first post here was a bit like that, but there was a point that related to the core post. "Another thing that pisses me off is his tendency to refer to anyone who disagrees with him as a WinJihadist (or fanatic)." Then surely can understand why I get ticked off by Paul's "iCabal" rants, which my past uses of "winCabal" is a direct response to. I've rarely used "winJihadist"... though I must say that Mike and Waethorn seem to fall into the camp of people on a missing to promote Windows with religious zeal. I tend to defend my platform from these kinds of things. "Moreover, Mike brought up Papola's website because of some weird comments from John about his LinkedIn page." What's weird about making a joke that I love Apple stuff? I don't literally worship Steve Jobs. It's a joke. Mike is just using it to attack me instead of deal with the content of my post. If you think attacking the messenger is a more honorable way to conduct a discussion than considering the content of the message... so be it. I don't. @Doc, Heh, I have a feeling you're outside our demographic on the VGAs. ;) No offense brother. So am I. :(

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